Thursday, 31 January 2013

Rio Tinto Says Oyu Tolgoi Remains on Track



Representatives at Rio Tinto denied reports today that they were planning to suspend construction at Mongolia’s US$6.2 billion copper-gold mine at Oyu Tolgoi. The firm reiterated that it is on course to start production by the middle of this year.

The comments came in response to reports that Rio was considering halting construction in response to the government’s demand to renegotiate the ownership of the mine and impose new royalties.

“The power is secured, first ore produced and the concentrator switched on and we are on schedule for first commercial production in the first half of the year,” Rio said, speaking on Thursday, “we continue to work together with all stakeholders including the government of Mongolia to bring the benefits of Oyu Tolgoi to all parties.”

The mine, which accounts for a third of Mongolian GDP, has been subject to much controversy of late, as the Mongolian government has twice attempted to renegotiate the terms of the contract in the last two years.

Currently, the Mongolian government owns 34% of the mine, with the remaining 66% being owned by Canadian listed Turquoise Hill Resources, itself controlled by Rio Tinto.

The move by the government to attempt to renegotiate the terms of the contract is further evidence of the resource nationalist sentiment that had been persistent throughout 2012. During the election campaign last year, some members of parliament promised to not allow foreign miners to exploit Mongolia’s tremendous mineral wealth.

In October 2012, Rio Tinto rejected Mongolia’s request to renegotiate the contract signed in 2009, after several years of negotiations.

Despite the uncertainty, Rio is adamant that it is on track to start production in the first half of this year. The mine is expected to produce 74,000 tons this year, accounting for 1.1% if Rio’s forecast net profit. Given this, the conclusion from analysts is that a delay would not trigger a profit warning for the mining giant.

Thursday, 24 January 2013

No IPO for Erdenes-Tavan Tolgoi in 2013



The giant Mongolian coking coal deposit will not list this year due to financial difficulties, according to its chief executive of development.

Speaking to Reuters, Batsuur Yichil, the head of the state-owned firm controlling the project said  “E-TT (Erdenes Tavan Tolgoi) is facing ... financial difficulties. That's why we stopped our coal transportation and export,” He then added that the government would provide assistance to help the firm repay its debts.

Along with the copper and gold mine Oyu Tolgoi, the 7.5 billion ton coking coal deposit has been a key factor in Mongolia’s recent headline grabbing growth figures. Mongolia was planning to list the eastern section this year however, Batsuur confirmed yesterday that these plans have been suspended.

Batsuur cited poor market conditions as another reason to delay the listing process. “We have decided to wait until the market recovers, the price of coal increases and until E-TT starts regular construction of its wash plant. Plus, we need to increase our exports”

It also emerged that E-TT are trying to renegotiate the cost of sales deal with Chinese state owned Chalco, after the project was forced to suspend shipments to China this month due to high transportation costs.

The Mongolian government has pledged to provide a $355 million loan to E-TT, which he said might be used to help it exit an agreement to supply to China.

E-TT main creditor Chalco, is owed $180 million by the project as part of a supply contract signed in 2011. Within the terms was an agreement that E-TT could pay the $250 million lent to them by Chalco in coal or cash.

The mine’s financial troubles stem from the government’s pledge to issue each Mongolian citizen with 1,072  shares in the mine in an effort to allow the public to participate in the mining wealth. 

Last year, amid numerous delays in listing and a fast approaching election, the government initiated a buyback scheme in which citizens could trade their shares for MNT 1 million ($760).

In a country where per capita income is around $3,000, the buyback program saddled the government with a $1 billion bill, at a time when E-TT itself was unlisted and barely breaking even. In an effort to recoup the losses the government forced E-TT to front most of the cost.

As well as negotiating with Chalco, E-TT is in discussions with the government of Mongolia over a sizeable loan, which would ensure that the mine is able to continue its development.